Glossary | Predictor

Platform

Predictors: Users of the Predictor platform who express their views on future events by buying or selling contracts related to available prediction markets. Predictors participate as individual market participants and make independent decisions based on their own judgment.

Regulated entities

Introducing Broker / IB: A regulated intermediary that introduces customers to an FCM. Predictor acts as the IB.
Futures Commission Merchant / FCM: A regulated firm that carries customer accounts and handles customer funds. For Predictor, this is Plus500US Financial Services LLC.
Designated Contract Market / DCM: A CFTC-regulated exchange where eligible derivatives contracts may be listed for trading.

Contracts and markets

Event Contract: A financial contract tied to the outcome of a future event.
Yes / No Contract: A contract where the outcome depends on whether a stated event happens or does not happen.
Peer-to-Peer Market: A market where participants trade with each other, rather than against the platform.
Settlement: The process of determining the final outcome of a contract based on the market rules.
Liquidity: The ability to enter or exit a position. Liquidity may vary and is not guaranteed.

Compliance

KYC / AML: Know Your Customer and Anti-Money Laundering checks used to verify identity and help prevent financial crime.
Material Non-Public Information: Important information that is not publicly available and could affect the price or outcome of a market.
Restricted Person: A person who may be prohibited from trading certain markets because of their role, access, employment, relationship, or legal obligations.

Disclaimer

Event contracts are derivatives and may be treated as swaps, futures, options, or other regulated commodity interests depending on their structure. Trading involves risk and may not be appropriate for everyone. You may lose the amount you put at risk.

The regulatory treatment of prediction markets in the United States is evolving and subject to ongoing legal and regulatory developments. Predictor reserves the right, at its sole discretion, to amend, suspend, restrict, or withdraw access to any market, product, or feature, in whole or in part, including on a jurisdictional or user-specific basis, in response to changes in applicable law, regulation, regulatory guidance, or internal risk assessments.

Predictor does not provide investment, legal, tax, or financial advice. All trading decisions are made independently by users.

Access to Predictor is restricted to individuals who are at least 18 years old (or the age of majority in their jurisdiction, if higher). Account approval is subject to eligibility checks, including identity verification and compliance screening.

Predictor acts as an Introducing Broker and does not hold customer funds. Customer accounts are carried by a regulated Futures Commission Merchant. Contracts are listed on a regulated exchange and may be cleared through a designated clearinghouse.

Products, services, and markets may not be available in all jurisdictions and may be subject to change.

Regulated entities

Introducing Broker / IB

A regulated intermediary that introduces customers to an FCM. Predictor acts as the IB.

Futures Commission Merchant / FCM

A regulated firm that carries customer accounts and handles customer funds. For Predictor, this is Plus500US Financial Services LLC.

Designated Contract Market / DCM

A CFTC-regulated exchange where eligible derivatives contracts may be listed for trading.

Contracts and markets

Event Contract

A financial contract tied to the outcome of a future event.

Yes / No Contract

A contract where the outcome depends on whether a stated event happens or does not happen.

Peer-to-Peer Market

A market where participants trade with each other, rather than against the platform.

Settlement

The process of determining the final outcome of a contract based on the market rules.

Liquidity

The ability to enter or exit a position. Liquidity may vary and is not guaranteed.

Compliance

KYC / AML

Know Your Customer and Anti-Money Laundering checks used to verify identity and help prevent financial crime.

Material Non-Public Information

Important information that is not publicly available and could affect the price or outcome of a market.

Restricted Person

A person who may be prohibited from trading certain markets because of their role, access, employment, relationship, or legal obligations.