Trading Responsibly

How should I trade responsibly?

Prediction markets are designed to reflect views about future events, but trading always involves risk. Before trading, make sure you understand the market, the rules, the potential loss, and whether trading is appropriate for your circumstances.

Trade only what you understand.
Read the market title, rules, settlement source, fees, and risk disclosures before placing an order.
Trade only with funds you can afford to lose.
Set limits, take breaks, and do not chase losses.
Do not trade when stressed, intoxicated, pressured, or trying to recover money quickly.

Can I trade using inside information?

No. You are prohibited from using confidential, material, or non-public information. You are also prohibited from sharing such information with others or helping others trade on it.

Can athletes, public officials, campaign staff, journalists, employees, or insiders trade?

It depends. Some people may be restricted from trading certain markets because of their job, access to information, relationship to the event, or legal obligations. For example, a candidate trading on their own election, a team employee trading on a team-related market, or a journalist trading before publishing market-moving information may be prohibited. Please review the prohibitions and restrictions of the contract.

What should I avoid?

Predictors must not engage in activity that undermines market integrity or violates applicable rules.

Do not trade using material non-public information.
Do not manipulate markets or prices.
Do not collude with others to distort outcomes.
Do not trade for someone else or on behalf of a restricted person.
Do not attempt to circumvent account controls, eligibility checks, jurisdiction restrictions, or compliance reviews.

What consumer-protection measures may apply?

Predictor and its partners may monitor activity for unusual patterns, risky trading behavior, suspected fraud, market abuse, prohibited conduct, or compliance concerns. Controls may include account review, trading limits, temporary restrictions, withdrawal review, suspension, or reporting suspicious conduct to relevant partners, exchanges, regulators, or integrity providers where appropriate.

Are there self-exclusion or account restriction tools?

Predictor reserves the right to implement tools that may limit or restrict access to the platform, including temporary breaks, deposit limits, trading limits, cooling-off periods, or account closure requests, where necessary and where available.

Disclaimer

Event contracts are derivatives and may be treated as swaps, futures, options, or other regulated commodity interests depending on their structure. Trading involves risk and may not be appropriate for everyone. You may lose the amount you put at risk.

The regulatory treatment of prediction markets in the United States is evolving and subject to ongoing legal and regulatory developments. Predictor reserves the right, at its sole discretion, to amend, suspend, restrict, or withdraw access to any market, product, or feature, in whole or in part, including on a jurisdictional or user-specific basis, in response to changes in applicable law, regulation, regulatory guidance, or internal risk assessments.

Predictor does not provide investment, legal, tax, or financial advice. All trading decisions are made independently by users.

Access to Predictor is restricted to individuals who are at least 18 years old (or the age of majority in their jurisdiction, if higher). Account approval is subject to eligibility checks, including identity verification and compliance screening.

Predictor acts as an Introducing Broker and does not hold customer funds. Customer accounts are carried by a regulated Futures Commission Merchant. Contracts are listed on a regulated exchange and may be cleared through a designated clearinghouse.

Products, services, and markets may not be available in all jurisdictions and may be subject to change.