If the President takes executive action or signs a law that makes at least one complete IVF cycle available at no out-of-pocket cost to patients before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC, the Department of Health and Human Services, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, The Information, the Federal Register, CBS, NBC, Axios, the White House, The Washington Post, Fox News, CNN, The New York Times, Semafor, Politico, MSNBC, the Associated Press, and Reuters.

The action must be legally binding and leave patients with no out-of-pocket cost for at least one complete IVF cycle (ovarian stimulation, transfer of the resulting fresh embryos and storage of viable embryos, including medications and procedures). It counts once binding, even if it takes effect later. Full reimbursement of the cycle counts. Coverage may be limited to an eligible group, such as patients diagnosed with infertility or patients of a certain age, as long as a broad class of patients gets the cycle at no cost.

The following do NOT count: Discounts or lower prices on fertility drugs, including through TrumpRx Fertility benefits that employers or insurers may choose to offer Coverage that leaves any copayment, deductible, coinsurance or other patient cost for the cycle Orders, proposals or recommendations that direct study or future action