Market resolved
Resolved on October 15, 2026 at 3:30pm EDT
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Department of the Treasury.
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.
